crypto currency logo- Top Block

Industry: Concerns about the imbalance between supply and demand still exist, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.The central bank's open market will have 1.45 trillion yuan of MLF and 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase due next week. This week, the central bank's open market has carried out 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations. Due to the expiration of 354.1 billion yuan of reverse repurchase, the net investment for the whole week is 184.4 billion yuan. The data shows that there will be 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase due in the open market of the central bank next week, including 47.1 billion yuan, 141.6 billion yuan, 78.6 billion yuan, 66.1 billion yuan and 205.1 billion yuan due from Monday to Friday respectively. In addition, there will be 1.45 trillion yuan of MLF and 120 billion yuan of treasury cash deposits due next Monday.

At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12th), the main contract of CME Bitcoin futures BTC was reported at $100,000, down 1.90% from the end of new york on Wednesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,888.50, up 0.52% from Wednesday.Hong Kong Monetary Authority: In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. On December 13, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced the main analytical accounts of the Exchange Fund at the end of November 2024. In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. The monetary base is HK$ 1,950.1 billion, including certificates of indebtedness, notes and coins in circulation issued by the government, balances in the banking system and issued Exchange Fund bills and bonds. Claims on the private sector in Hong Kong amounted to HK$ 287.8 billion. Total external liabilities amounted to HK$ 28 billion.Yuanda Jinghua Securities upgraded the rating of Taiwan Optoelectronic Materials to Buy with a target price of 660 yuan NT.

848 agricultural and livestock products in Inner Mongolia were selected into the national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products. The reporter learned from the Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Department of Inner Mongolia that 30 products including Songshan sweet pepper and Jiuyuan duck-billed fish declared by Inner Mongolia were recently selected into the third batch of national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products in 2024. A total of 848 agricultural and livestock products in Inner Mongolia were selected into the national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products, ranking among the top in the country. (Xinhua News Agency)Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.Foreign media: BRICS countries lead global economic growth in 2024. On the 13th, Reference News published a report on the website of Brazil's Tribune magazine that "BRICS countries lead GDP growth in 2024 and surpass rich countries". The summary of the report is as follows: In 2024, the BRICS countries are expected to lead the global economic growth, leaving the richest countries behind. It is estimated that India's economy is expected to grow by 7% this year, and China, the second largest economy in the world, is also expected to achieve the economic growth target of around 5%. For other members of the group, the growth figures are also positive, such as Russia (3.6%) and Brazil (3%). These growth rates exceed those of the United States (2.8%), South Korea (2.5%) and the European Union represented by Spain (2.9%).